There are four questions nearly all Americans of voting age are asking themselves about former president, Donald Trump:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The answer to the first question is a slam-dunk. Of course, he will win the Republican nomination. Well more than half the Republican voters<\/a> prefer him to all the rest of his Republican rivals combined. So, his winning the Republican presidential nomination is a complete no-brainer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Moving right along, will he beat Joe Biden in 2024? Well, for starters, Trump and Biden have been consistently tied in the polls. So, at least on the surface, the election could be a real nail-biter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n But there\u2019s another way of looking at the election. To begin with, let\u2019s concede that at least two-thirds of the registered Republicans will vote for Trump. The bulk of these voters are the MAGA schmucks, and there\u2019s also quite a sizeable contingent of wealthy Republicans who consider Trump a useful idiot — a guy who will keep their taxes low and cut back on what they consider bothersome government regulation, especially in regard to environmental protection.<\/p>\n\n\n\n There is also a very sizeable segment of Republican voters who are not just afraid that Trump will cut off our military aid to Ukraine<\/a>, but that he is far too cozy with Russian dictator, Vladimir Putin. And there is even a sizeable Republican contingent that genuinely fears that if elected, Trump will destroy our democratic form of government.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Still, Trump will likely draw as much as two-thirds of the Republican vote in 2024. But that won\u2019t be nearly enough to land him back in the White House.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The big question is: How will he do with the Independent voters? This is the swing group whose support has made the difference in nearly all recent presidential elections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is common knowledge that with each new indictment, Trump\u2019s support shoots up. But that burst of support is confined to MAGA Republican voters. If anything, these indictments depress Trump\u2019s support among Independents. As for Democrats, not a lot of them will be voting for Trump as it is, so there won\u2019t be much of a fall-off of Trump support in this <\/em>group. To put it more philosophically, \u201cYou can\u2019t get hurt falling out of a basement window.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n We have seen that with each new indictment, Trump\u2019s numbers in the presidential polls shoot up. But just hold it there a second. Which polls are we looking at?<\/p>\n\n\n\n We are looking at polls of Republican voters. So yeah, it\u2019s extremely unfair that the Biden Justice Department and Fani Willis, the \u201cDemocrat\u201d District Attorney in heavily Democratic Fulton County, Georgia, have engineered indictments. Which just goes to show how the legal deck is stacked against a man who is constantly proclaiming, \u201cI did nothing wrong!\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n But what is going to really<\/em> count here is not the reaction of the Republican voters \u2013 at least two-thirds of whom are going to vote for Trump even if he\u2019s sitting in a jail cell. What\u2019s really going to count is the reaction of the Independents \u2013 and to a much lesser degree \u2013 the rank-and-file Democratic voters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n So far, we\u2019ve been talking about the voters\u2019 reactions to Trump\u2019s indictments. But any convictions will be an entirely different matter. An indictment indicates a judgement of jurors that there is sufficient evidence to proceed with a trial. But a guilty verdict by a unanimous jury is, of course, much more serious. In at least three of the four cases, if found guilty, Trump will be given a substantial jail sentence. Indeed, he might even face spending the rest of his life behind bars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n2. Will He Win The General Election Against President Joe Biden?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
3. Will He Be Found Guilty Of Any Of The Most Serious Crimes For Which He Has Been Indicted?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
4. How Will He Be Punished For These Crimes?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n